Tag: macro

COMPOSITE MACRO ETF WEEKLY ANALYTICS (5/14/2016)

FOR A DEEPER DIVE INTO ETF PERFORMANCE AND RELATIVE VALUE SUBSCRIBE TO THE ETF INTERNAL ANALYTICS PACKAGE HERE LAYOUT (Organized by Time Period): Composite ETF Cumulative Returns Momentum Bar plot Composite ETF Cumulative Returns Line plot (best vs worst vs benchmark) Composite ETF Risk-Adjusted Returns Scatter plot (Std vs Mean) Composite ETF Risk-Adjusted Return Correlations Heatmap (Clusterplot) Implied Cost of Capital Estimates Composite ETF Cumulative Return Tables Notable Trends an

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COMPOSITE MACRO ETF WEEKLY ANALYTICS (5/08/2016)

FOR A DEEPER DIVE INTO ETF PERFORMANCE AND RELATIVE VALUE SUBSCRIBE TO THE ETF INTERNAL ANALYTICS PACKAGE HERE LAYOUT (Organized by Time Period): Composite ETF Cumulative Returns Momentum Bar plot Composite ETF Cumulative Returns Line plot (best vs worst vs benchmark) Composite ETF Risk-Adjusted Returns Scatter plot (Std vs Mean) Composite ETF Risk-Adjusted Return Correlations Heatmap (Clusterplot) Implied Cost of Capital Estimates Composite ETF Cumulative Return Tables Notable Trends an

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COMPOSITE MACRO ETF WEEKLY ANALYTICS (4/30/2016)

FOR A DEEPER DIVE INTO ETF PERFORMANCE AND RELATIVE VALUE SUBSCRIBE TO THE ETF INTERNAL ANALYTICS PACKAGE HERE LAYOUT (Organized by Time Period): Composite ETF Cumulative Returns Momentum Bar plot Composite ETF Cumulative Returns Line plot (best vs worst vs benchmark) Composite ETF Risk-Adjusted Returns Scatter plot (Std vs Mean) Composite ETF Risk-Adjusted Return Correlations Heatmap (Clusterplot) Implied Cost of Capital Estimates Composite ETF Cumulative Return Tables Notable Trends an

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COMPOSITE MACRO ETF WEEKLY ANALYTICS (4/17/2016)

FOR A DEEPER DIVE INTO ETF PERFORMANCE AND RELATIVE VALUE SUBSCRIBE TO THE ETF INTERNAL ANALYTICS PACKAGE HERE LAYOUT (Organized by Time Period): Composite ETF Cumulative Returns Momentum Bar plot Composite ETF Cumulative Returns Line plot (best vs worst vs benchmark) Composite ETF Risk-Adjusted Returns Scatter plot (Std vs Mean) Composite ETF Risk-Adjusted Return Correlations Heatmap (Clusterplot) Implied Cost of Capital Estimates Composite ETF Cumulative Return Tables Notable Trends an

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COMPOSITE MACRO ETF WEEKLY ANALYTICS (4/09/2016)

Blog RSS FOR A DEEPER DIVE INTO ETF PERFORMANCE AND RELATIVE VALUE SUBSCRIBE TO THE ETF INTERNAL ANALYTICS PACKAGE HERE LAYOUT (Organized by Time Period): Composite ETF Cumulative Returns Momentum Bar plot Composite ETF Cumulative Returns Line plot Composite ETF Risk-Adjusted Returns Scatter plot (Std vs Mean) Composite ETF Risk-Adjusted Return Correlations Heatmap (Clusterplot) Implied Cost of Capital Estimates Composite ETF Cumulative Return Tables Notable Trends and Observati

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COMPOSITE MACRO ETF WEEKLY ANALYTICS (4/02/2016)

Blog RSS FOR A DEEPER DIVE INTO ETF PERFORMANCE AND RELATIVE VALUE SUBSCRIBE TO THE ETF INTERNAL ANALYTICS PACKAGE HERE LAYOUT (Organized by Time Period): Composite ETF Cumulative Returns Momentum Bar plot Composite ETF Cumulative Returns Line plot Composite ETF Risk-Adjusted Returns Scatter plot (Std vs Mean) Composite ETF Risk-Adjusted Return Correlations Heatmap (Clusterplot) Implied Cost of Capital Estimates Composite ETF Cumulative Return Tables Notable Trends and Observat

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COMPOSITE MACRO ETF WEEKLY ANALYTICS (3/19/2016)

FOR A DEEPER DIVE INTO ETF PERFORMANCE AND RELATIVE VALUE SUBSCRIBE TO THE ETF INTERNAL ANALYTICS PACKAGE HERE LAYOUT (Organized by Time Period): Composite ETF Cumulative Returns Momentum Bar plot Composite ETF Cumulative Returns Line plot Composite ETF Risk-Adjusted Returns Scatter plot (Std vs Mean) Composite ETF Risk-Adjusted Return Correlations Heatmap (Clusterplot) Implied Cost of Capital Estimates Composite ETF Cumulative Return Tables Notable Trends and Observations COMP

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COMPOSITE MACRO ETF WEEKLY ANALYTICS (3/05/2016)

FOR A DEEPER DIVE INTO ETF PERFORMANCE AND RELATIVE VALUE SUBSCRIBE TO THE ETF INTERNAL ANALYTICS PACKAGE HERE LAYOUT (Organized by Time Period): Composite ETF Cumulative Returns Momentum Bar plot Composite ETF Cumulative Returns Line plot Composite ETF Risk-Adjusted Returns Scatter plot (Std vs Mean) Composite ETF Risk-Adjusted Return Correlations Heatmap (Clusterplot) Implied Cost of Capital Estimates Composite ETF Cumulative Return Tables Notable Trends and Observations COMP

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COMPOSITE MACRO ETF WEEKLY ANALYTICS (2/27/2016)

FOR A DEEPER DIVE INTO ETF PERFORMANCE AND RELATIVE VALUE SUBSCRIBE TO THE ETF INTERNAL ANALYTICS PACKAGE HERE LAYOUT (Organized by Time Period): Notable Trends and Observations Composite ETF Cumulative Returns Momentum Bar plot Composite ETF Cumulative Returns Line plot Composite ETF Risk-Adjusted Returns Scatter plot (Std vs Mean) Composite ETF Risk-Adjusted Return Correlations Heatmap (Clusterplot) Implied Cost of Capital Estimates Composite ETF Cumulative Return Tables COMP

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COMPOSITE MACRO ETF WEEKLY ANALYTICS (2/20/2016)

#block-yui_3_17_2_2_1456020426677_173171 .social-icons-style-border .sqs-svg-icon--wrapper { box-shadow: 0 0 0 2px inset; border: none; } FOR A DEEPER DIVE INTO ETF PERFORMANCE AND RELATIVE VALUE SUBSCRIBE TO THE ETF INTERNAL ANALYTICS PACKAGE HERE LAYOUT (Organized by Time Period): Composite ETF Cumulative Returns Momentum Bar plot Composite ETF Cumulative Returns Line plot Composite ETF Risk-Adjusted Returns Scatter plot (Std vs Mean) Composite ETF Risk-Adjusted Return Correlations

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COMPOSITE MACRO ETF WEEKLY ANALYTICS (2/13/2016)

#block-yui_3_17_2_4_1455394346404_17847 .social-icons-style-border .sqs-svg-icon--wrapper { box-shadow: 0 0 0 2px inset; border: none; } FOR A DEEPER DIVE INTO ETF PERFORMANCE AND RELATIVE VALUE SUBSCRIBE TO THE ETF INTERNAL ANALYTICS PACKAGE HERE LAYOUT (Organized by Time Period): Composite ETF Cumulative Returns Momentum Bar plot Composite ETF Cumulative Returns Line plot Composite ETF Risk-Adjusted Returns Scatter plot (Std vs Mean) Composite ETF Risk-Adjusted Return Correlations

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USING IMPLIED VOLATILITY TO PREDICT ETF RETURNS (2/06/16)

To see the origin of this series click here In the paper that inspired this series ("What Does Individual Option Volatility Smirk Tell Us About Future Equity Returns") the authors' research shows that their calculation of the Option Volatility Smirk is predictive of equity returns up to 4 weeks. Therefore, each week, I will calculate the Long/Short legs of a portfolio constructed by following their criteria as closely as possible. However this study will focus on ETF's as opposed to single name

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COMPOSITE MACRO ETF WEEKLY ANALYTICS (2/06/2016)

FOR A DEEPER DIVE INTO ETF PERFORMANCE AND RELATIVE VALUE SUBSCRIBE TO THE ETF INTERNAL ANALYTICS PACKAGE HERE LAYOUT (Organized by Time Period): Composite ETF Cumulative Returns Momentum Bar plot Composite ETF Cumulative Returns Line plot Composite ETF Risk-Adjusted Returns Scatter plot (Std vs Mean) Composite ETF Risk-Adjusted Return Correlations Heatmap (Clusterplot) Implied Cost of Capital Estimates Composite ETF Cumulative Return Tables Notable Trends and Observations COMP

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Implied Volatility Skew Strategy Mid-Week Update Using Python (2/03/2016)

To see this weekend's prediction click here. Overall this strategy has been impressive in its trial run over the last 4.5 weeks. I figured, given the volatility and uncertainty in the broad markets this week I'd like to see a mid-week update of the strategy using Python and the BarChart OnDemand API. To see my original article on the basics of using the BarChart OnDemand API click here. First I import the basic modules needed to execute the script: From there I define a couple convenience fun

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USING IMPLIED VOLATILITY TO PREDICT ETF RETURNS (1/30/16)

To see the origin of this series click here In the paper that inspired this series ("What Does Individual Option Volatility Smirk Tell Us About Future Equity Returns") the authors' research shows that their calculation of the Option Volatility Smirk is predictive of equity returns up to 4 weeks. Therefore, each week, I will calculate the Long/Short legs of a portfolio constructed by following their criteria as closely as possible. However this study will focus on ETF's as opposed to single name

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COMPOSITE MACRO ETF WEEKLY IMPLIED COST-OF-CAPITAL ESTIMATES VS. CUMULATIVE RETURNS (1/30/16)

WHAT IS THE "IMPLIED COST OF CAPITAL (ICC)" MODEL? “In accounting and finance the implied cost of equity capital (ICC)—defined as the internal rate of return that equates the current stock price to discounted expected future dividends—is an increasingly popular class of proxies for the expected rate of equity returns. ” — CHARLES C. Y. WANG; an assistant professor of business administration in the Accounting and Management Unit at Harvard Business School The basic concept of the ICC model is

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COMPOSITE MACRO ETF WEEKLY ANALYTICS (1/30/2016)

LAYOUT (Organized by Time Period): Composite ETF Cumulative Returns Momentum Bar plot Composite ETF Cumulative Returns Line plot Composite ETF Risk-Adjusted Returns Scatter plot (Std vs Mean) Composite ETF Risk-Adjusted Return Correlations Heatmap (Clusterplot) Composite ETF Cumulative Return Tables Notable Trends and Observations COMPOSITE ETF COMPONENTS: LAST 252 TRADING DAYS Click here for help understanding this chart Click here for help understanding this chart Click here

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USING IMPLIED VOLATILITY TO PREDICT ETF RETURNS (1/23/16)

To see the origin of this series click here In the paper that inspired this series ("What Does Individual Option Volatility Smirk Tell Us About Future Equity Returns") the authors' research shows that their calculation of the Option Volatility Smirk is predictive of equity returns up to 4 weeks. Therefore, each week, I will calculate the Long/Short legs of a portfolio constructed by following their criteria as closely as possible. However this study will focus on ETF's as opposed to single name

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COMPOSITE MACRO ETF WEEKLY IMPLIED COST-OF-CAPITAL ESTIMATES VS. CUMULATIVE RETURNS (1/23/16)

WHAT IS THE "IMPLIED COST OF CAPITAL (ICC)" MODEL? “In accounting and finance the implied cost of equity capital (ICC)—defined as the internal rate of return that equates the current stock price to discounted expected future dividends—is an increasingly popular class of proxies for the expected rate of equity returns. ” — CHARLES C. Y. WANG; an assistant professor of business administration in the Accounting and Management Unit at Harvard Business School The basic concept of the ICC model is

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COMPOSITE MACRO ETF WEEKLY ANALYTICS (1/23/2016)

LAYOUT (Organized by Time Period): Composite ETF Cumulative Returns Momentum Bar plot Composite ETF Cumulative Returns Line plot Composite ETF Risk-Adjusted Returns Scatter plot (Std vs Mean) Composite ETF Risk-Adjusted Return Correlations Heatmap (Clusterplot) Composite ETF Cumulative Return Tables Notable Trends and Observations COMPOSITE ETF COMPONENTS: LAST 252 TRADING DAYS Click here for help understanding this chart Click here for help understanding this chart Click here

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USING IMPLIED VOLATILITY TO PREDICT ETF RETURNS (1/17/16)

To see the origin of this series click here In the paper that inspired this series ("What Does Individual Option Volatility Smirk Tell Us About Future Equity Returns") the authors' research shows that their calculation of the Option Volatility Smirk is predictive of equity returns up to 4 weeks. Therefore, each week, I will calculate the Long/Short legs of a portfolio constructed by following their criteria as closely as possible. However this study will focus on ETF's as opposed to single name

READ MORE →

COMPOSITE MACRO ETF WEEKLY IMPLIED COST-OF-CAPITAL ESTIMATES VS. CUMULATIVE RETURNS (1/16/16)

WHAT IS THE "IMPLIED COST OF CAPITAL (ICC)" MODEL? “In accounting and finance the implied cost of equity capital (ICC)—defined as the internal rate of return that equates the current stock price to discounted expected future dividends—is an increasingly popular class of proxies for the expected rate of equity returns. ” — CHARLES C. Y. WANG; an assistant professor of business administration in the Accounting and Management Unit at Harvard Business School The basic concept of the ICC model is

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COMPOSITE MACRO ETF WEEKLY ANALYTICS (1/16/2016)

LAYOUT (Organized by Time Period): Composite ETF Cumulative Returns Momentum Bar plot Composite ETF Cumulative Returns Line plot Composite ETF Risk-Adjusted Returns Scatter plot (Std vs Mean) Composite ETF Risk-Adjusted Return Correlations Heatmap (Clusterplot) Composite ETF Cumulative Return Tables Notable Trends and Observations COMPOSITE ETF COMPONENTS: LAST 252 TRADING DAYS Click here for help understanding this chart Click here for help understanding this chart Click here

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USING IMPLIED VOLATILITY TO PREDICT EQUITY/ETF RETURNS (1/11/16)

To see the origin of this series click here In the paper that inspired this series ("What Does Individual Option Volatility Smirk Tell Us About Future Equity Returns") the authors research shows that Option Volatility Smirk they calculate is predictive up to 4 weeks. Therefore, each week, I will calculate the Long/Short legs of a portfolio constructed by following their criteria as closely as possible. I will then track the results of the Long/Short portfolio, in equity returns, cumulatively fo

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COMPOSITE MACRO ETF WEEKLY IMPLIED COST-OF-CAPITAL ESTIMATES VS. CUMULATIVE RETURNS (1/09/16)

WHAT IS THE "IMPLIED COST OF CAPITAL (ICC)" MODEL? “In accounting and finance the implied cost of equity capital (ICC)—defined as the internal rate of return that equates the current stock price to discounted expected future dividends—is an increasingly popular class of proxies for the expected rate of equity returns. ” — CHARLES C. Y. WANG; an assistant professor of business administration in the Accounting and Management Unit at Harvard Business School The basic concept of the ICC model is

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COMPOSITE MACRO ETF WEEKLY ANALYTICS (1/09/2016)

LAYOUT (Organized by Time Period): Composite ETF Cumulative Returns Momentum Bar plot Composite ETF Cumulative Returns Line plot Composite ETF Risk-Adjusted Returns Scatter plot (Std vs Mean) Composite ETF Risk-Adjusted Return Correlations Heatmap (Clusterplot) Composite ETF Cumulative Return Tables Notable Trends and Observations COMPOSITE ETF COMPONENTS: LAST 252 TRADING DAYS Click here for help understanding this chart Click here for help understanding this chart Click here

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COMPOSITE MACRO ETF WEEKLY IMPLIED COST-OF-CAPITAL ESTIMATES VS. CUMULATIVE RETURNS (1/02/16)

WHAT IS THE "IMPLIED COST OF CAPITAL (ICC)" MODEL? “In accounting and finance the implied cost of equity capital (ICC)—defined as the internal rate of return that equates the current stock price to discounted expected future dividends—is an increasingly popular class of proxies for the expected rate of equity returns. ” — CHARLES C. Y. WANG; an assistant professor of business administration in the Accounting and Management Unit at Harvard Business School The basic concept of the ICC model is

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COMPOSITE MACRO ETF WEEKLY ANALYTICS (1/02/2016)

LAYOUT (Organized by Time Period): Composite ETF Cumulative Returns Momentum Bar plot Composite ETF Cumulative Returns Line plot Composite ETF Risk-Adjusted Returns Scatter plot (Std vs Mean) Composite ETF Risk-Adjusted Return Correlations Heatmap (Clusterplot) Composite ETF Cumulative Return Tables Notable Trends and Observations COMPOSITE ETF COMPONENTS: LAST 252 TRADING DAYS Click here for help understanding this chart Click here for help understanding this chart Click here

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COMPOSITE MACRO ETF WEEKLY IMPLIED COST-OF-CAPITAL ESTIMATES VS. CUMULATIVE RETURNS (12/26/15)

WHAT IS THE "IMPLIED COST OF CAPITAL (ICC)" MODEL? “In accounting and finance the implied cost of equity capital (ICC)—defined as the internal rate of return that equates the current stock price to discounted expected future dividends—is an increasingly popular class of proxies for the expected rate of equity returns. ” — CHARLES C. Y. WANG; an assistant professor of business administration in the Accounting and Management Unit at Harvard Business School The basic concept of the ICC model is

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COMPOSITE MACRO ETF WEEKLY ANALYTICS (12/26/2015)

LAYOUT (Organized by Time Period): Composite ETF Cumulative Returns Momentum Bar plot Composite ETF Cumulative Returns Line plot Composite ETF Risk-Adjusted Returns Scatter plot (Std vs Mean) Composite ETF Risk-Adjusted Return Correlations Heatmap (Clusterplot) Composite ETF Cumulative Return Tables Notable Trends and Observations COMPOSITE ETF COMPONENTS: LAST 252 TRADING DAYS Click here for help understanding this chart Click here for help understanding this chart Click here

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COMPOSITE MACRO ETF WEEKLY IMPLIED COST-OF-CAPITAL ESTIMATES VS. CUMULATIVE RETURNS (12/19/15)

WHAT IS THE "IMPLIED COST OF CAPITAL (ICC)" MODEL? “In accounting and finance the implied cost of equity capital (ICC)—defined as the internal rate of return that equates the current stock price to discounted expected future dividends—is an increasingly popular class of proxies for the expected rate of equity returns. ” — CHARLES C. Y. WANG; an assistant professor of business administration in the Accounting and Management Unit at Harvard Business School The basic concept of the ICC model is

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COMPOSITE MACRO ETF WEEKLY ANALYTICS (12/19/2015)

LAYOUT (Organized by Time Period): Composite ETF Cumulative Returns Momentum Bar plot Composite ETF Cumulative Returns Line plot Composite ETF Risk-Adjusted Returns Scatter plot (Std vs Mean) Composite ETF Risk-Adjusted Return Correlations Heatmap (Clusterplot) Composite ETF Cumulative Return Tables Notable Trends and Observations COMPOSITE ETF COMPONENTS: LAST 252 TRADING DAYS Click here for help understanding this chart Click here for help understanding this chart Click here

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COMPOSITE MACRO ETF WEEKLY IMPLIED COST-OF-CAPITAL ESTIMATES VS. CUMULATIVE RETURNS (12/13/15)

WHAT IS THE "IMPLIED COST OF CAPITAL (ICC)" MODEL? “In accounting and finance the implied cost of equity capital (ICC)—defined as the internal rate of return that equates the current stock price to discounted expected future dividends—is an increasingly popular class of proxies for the expected rate of equity returns. ” — CHARLES C. Y. WANG; an assistant professor of business administration in the Accounting and Management Unit at Harvard Business School The basic concept of the ICC model is

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COMPOSITE MACRO ETF WEEKLY ANALYTICS (12/13/2015)

LAYOUT (Organized by Time Period): Composite ETF Cumulative Returns Momentum Bar plot Composite ETF Cumulative Returns Line plot Composite ETF Risk-Adjusted Returns Scatter plot (Std vs Mean) Composite ETF Risk-Adjusted Return Correlations Heatmap (Clusterplot) Composite ETF Cumulative Return Tables Notable Trends and Observations COMPOSITE ETF COMPONENTS: YEAR-TO-DATE LAST 247 TRADING DAYS Click here for help understanding this Chart Click here for help understanding this Char

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COMPOSITE MACRO ETF WEEKLY IMPLIED COST-OF-CAPITAL ESTIMATES VS. CUMULATIVE RETURNS (12/06/15)

WHAT IS THE "IMPLIED COST OF CAPITAL (ICC)" MODEL? “In accounting and finance the implied cost of equity capital (ICC)—defined as the internal rate of return that equates the current stock price to discounted expected future dividends—is an increasingly popular class of proxies for the expected rate of equity returns. ” — CHARLES C. Y. WANG; an assistant professor of business administration in the Accounting and Management Unit at Harvard Business School The basic concept of the ICC model is

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COMPOSITE MACRO ETF WEEKLY ANALYTICS (12/06/2015)

LAYOUT (Organized by Time Period): Composite ETF Cumulative Returns Momentum Bar plot and associated Tables Composite ETF Cumulative Returns Line plot Composite ETF Risk-Adjusted Returns Scatter plot (Std vs Mean) Composite ETF Risk-Adjusted Return Correlations Heatmap (Clusterplot) COMPOSITE ETF COMPONENTS: YEAR-TO-DATE LAST 242 TRADING DAYS Click here for help understanding this Chart Click here for help understanding this Chart Click here for help understanding this Chart Clic

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COMPOSITE MACRO ETF WEEKLY IMPLIED COST-OF-CAPITAL ESTIMATES VS. CUMULATIVE RETURNS (11/28/15)

WHAT IS THE "IMPLIED COST OF CAPITAL (ICC)" MODEL? “In accounting and finance the implied cost of equity capital (ICC)—defined as the internal rate of return that equates the current stock price to discounted expected future dividends—is an increasingly popular class of proxies for the expected rate of equity returns. ” — CHARLES C. Y. WANG; an assistant professor of business administration in the Accounting and Management Unit at Harvard Business School The basic concept of the ICC model is

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COMPOSITE MACRO ETF WEEKLY ANALYTICS (11/28/2015)

NEW LAYOUT (Organized by Time Period): Composite ETF Cumulative Returns Momentum Bar plot and associated Tables Composite ETF Cumulative Returns Line plot Composite ETF Risk-Adjusted Returns Scatter plot (Std vs Mean) Composite ETF Risk-Adjusted Return Correlations Heatmap (Clusterplot) COMPOSITE ETF COMPONENTS: YEAR-TO-DATE LAST 237 TRADING DAYS Click here for help understanding this Chart Click here for help understanding this Chart Click here for help understanding this Chart

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COMPOSITE MACRO ETF WEEKLY IMPLIED COST-OF-CAPITAL ESTIMATES VS. CUMULATIVE RETURNS (11/21/15)

WHAT IS THE "IMPLIED COST OF CAPITAL (ICC)" MODEL? “In accounting and finance the implied cost of equity capital (ICC)—defined as the internal rate of return that equates the current stock price to discounted expected future dividends—is an increasingly popular class of proxies for the expected rate of equity returns. ” — CHARLES C. Y. WANG; an assistant professor of business administration in the Accounting and Management Unit at Harvard Business School The basic concept of the ICC model is

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COMPOSITE MACRO ETF WEEKLY ANALYTICS (11/21/2015)

NEW LAYOUT (Organized by Time Period): Composite ETF Cumulative Returns Momentum Bar plot and associated Tables Composite ETF Cumulative Returns Line plot Composite ETF Risk-Adjusted Returns Scatter plot (Std vs Mean) Composite ETF Risk-Adjusted Return Correlations Heatmap (Clusterplot) COMPOSITE ETF COMPONENTS: YEAR-TO-DATE LAST 232 TRADING DAYS Click here for help understanding this Chart Click here for help understanding this Chart Click here for help understanding this Chart

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COMPOSITE MACRO ETF WEEKLY IMPLIED COST-OF-CAPITAL ESTIMATES VS. CUMULATIVE RETURNS (11/14/15)

WHAT IS THE "IMPLIED COST OF CAPITAL (ICC)" MODEL? “In accounting and finance the implied cost of equity capital (ICC)—defined as the internal rate of return that equates the current stock price to discounted expected future dividends—is an increasingly popular class of proxies for the expected rate of equity returns. ” — CHARLES C. Y. WANG; an assistant professor of business administration in the Accounting and Management Unit at Harvard Business School The basic concept of the ICC model is

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COMPOSITE MACRO ETF WEEKLY ANALYTICS (11/14/2015)

NEW LAYOUT (Organized by Time Period): Composite ETF Cumulative Returns Momentum Bar plot and associated Tables Composite ETF Cumulative Returns Line plot Composite ETF Risk-Adjusted Returns Scatter plot (Std vs Mean) Composite ETF Risk-Adjusted Return Correlations Heatmap (Clusterplot) Composite ETF Components: YEAR-TO-DATE LAST 227 TRADING DAYS Click here for help understanding this Chart Click here for help understanding this Chart Click here for help understanding this Chart

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COMPOSITE MACRO ETF WEEKLY IMPLIED COST OF CAPITAL ESTIMATES vs. CUMULATIVE RETURNS (11/07/15)

WHAT IS THE "IMPLIED COST OF CAPITAL (ICC)" MODEL? “In accounting and finance the implied cost of equity capital (ICC)—defined as the internal rate of return that equates the current stock price to discounted expected future dividends—is an increasingly popular class of proxies for the expected rate of equity returns. ” — CHARLES C. Y. WANG; an assistant professor of business administration in the Accounting and Management Unit at Harvard Business School The basic concept of the ICC model is

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COMPOSITE MACRO ETF WEEKLY ANALYTICS (11/07/2015)

NEW LAYOUT: Composite ETF Cumulative Returns Momentum Bar plot and associated Tables Composite ETF Cumulative Returns Line plot Composite ETF Risk-Adjusted Returns Scatter plot (Std vs Mean) Composite ETF Risk-Adjusted Return Correlations Heatmap (Clusterplot) YEAR-TO-DATE LAST 222 TRADING DAYS Click here for help understanding this Chart Click here for help understanding this Chart Click here for help understanding this Chart Click here for help understanding this Chart LAST 63

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COMPOSITE MACRO ETF IMPLIED COST OF CAPITAL ESTIMATES

Earlier this year I used to publish a bi-weekly article using the "Implied Cost of Capital" model as an ETF relative value estimation tool. Unfortunately State Street began reporting obvious erroneous data points and eventually stopped providing certain fundamental data altogether. As a result I had to suspend publishing of my ICC estimates. Well thanks to YCharts.com and their excellent site I was able to find the requisite data needed to begin publishing my model estimates again. what is th

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COMPOSITE MACRO ETF WEEKLY ANALYTICS (10/31/2015)

NEW LAYOUT: Going forward I will be testing a new organizational format for the charts. I have created a chart description page which details how each plot type is commonly interpreted (used). I will provide a link to the chart description page in the caption of each chart. The primary change is all the chart types will be grouped by the referenced time period. It is my hope that grouping the data this way will allow for easier analysis. Each time period grouping will display the charts in the

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COMPOSITE MACRO ETF WEEKLY ANALYTICS (10/25/2015)

COMPOSITE ETF CUMULATIVE RETURN MOMENTUM These charts show the sum (cumulative) of the daily returns of each composite ETF over the specified period. The daily return is calculated as the log of the percent change between daily adjusted close prices. These charts help determine asset class return momentum. This is important because momentum is arguably the strongest and most persistent market anomaly. Poorly performing asset classes are likely to continue under performing while outperforming a

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COMPOSITE MACRO ETF WEEKLY ANALYTICS (10/18/2015)

COMPOSITE ETF CUMULATIVE RETURN MOMENTUM These charts show the sum (cumulative) of the daily returns of each composite ETF over the specified period. The daily return is calculated as the log of the percent change between daily adjusted close prices. These charts help determine asset class return momentum. This is important because momentum is arguably the strongest and most persistent market anomaly. Poorly performing asset classes are likely to continue under performing while outperforming a

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COMPOSITE MACRO ETF WEEKLY ANALYTICS (10/10/2015)

COMPOSITE ETF CUMULATIVE RETURN MOMENTUM These charts show the sum (cumulative) of the daily returns of each composite ETF over the specified period. The daily return is calculated as the log of the percent change between daily adjusted close prices. These charts help determine asset class return momentum. This is important because momentum is arguably the strongest and most persistent market anomaly. Poorly performing asset classes are likely to continue under performing while outperforming a

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COMPOSITE MACRO ETF WEEKLY ANALYTICS (10/04/2015)

COMPOSITE ETF CUMULATIVE RETURN MOMENTUM These charts show the sum (cumulative) of the daily returns of each composite ETF over the specified period. The daily return is calculated as the log of the percent change between daily adjusted close prices. These charts help determine asset class return momentum. This is important because momentum is arguably the strongest and most persistent market anomaly. Poorly performing asset classes are likely to continue under performing while outperforming a

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COMPOSITE MACRO ETF WEEKLY ANALYTICS (9/28/2015)

COMPOSITE ETF CUMULATIVE RETURN MOMENTUM These charts show the sum (cumulative) of the daily returns of each composite ETF over the specified period. The daily return is calculated as the log of the percent change between daily adjusted close prices. These charts help determine asset class return momentum. This is important because momentum is arguably the strongest and most persistent market anomaly. Poorly performing asset classes are likely to continue under performing while outperforming a

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Guest Post Previously Featured on RectitudeMarket.com (09/02/2015)

**Note: This post already appeared as a guest post on rectitudemarket.com. The reason I'm posting this article when it is 'outdated', is twofold. 1) I think it's beneficial to review previous works especially when one has the benefit of hindsight. This helps us determine the accuracy and bias of the research presented. 2) I further introduce the concept of conditional cumulative returns, which adds insight to what happens to our securities' returns given some other event occurring. In this case,

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COMPOSITE MACRO ETF WEEKLY ANALYTICS (9/20/2015)

COMPOSITE ETF CUMULATIVE RETURN MOMENTUM These charts show the sum (cumulative) of the daily returns of each composite ETF over the specified period. The daily return is calculated as the log of the percent change between daily adjusted close prices. These charts help determine asset class return momentum. This is important because momentum is arguably the strongest and most persistent market anomaly. Poorly performing asset classes are likely to continue under performing while outperforming a

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COMPOSITE MACRO ETF WEEKLY ANALYTICS (9/14/2015)

COMPOSITE ETF CUMULATIVE RETURN MOMENTUM These charts show the sum (cumulative) of the daily returns of each composite ETF over the specified period. The daily return is calculated as the log of the percent change between daily adjusted close prices. These charts help determine asset class return momentum. This is important because momentum is arguably the strongest and most persistent market anomaly. Poorly performing asset classes are likely to continue under performing while outperforming a

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Composite Macro ETF Weekly Analytics (8/30/2015)

COMPOSITE ETF CUMULATIVE RETURN MOMENTUM These charts show the sum (cumulative) of the daily returns of each composite ETF over the specified period. The daily return is calculated as the log of the percent change between daily adjusted close prices. These charts help determine asset class return momentum. This is important because momentum is arguably the strongest and most persistent market anomaly. Poorly performing asset classes are likely to continue under performing while outperforming a

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COMPOSITE MACRO ETF CUMULATIVE RETURN MOMENTUM (08.23.2015)

Here is the updated list of composite ETF components. LAST 1260 TRADING DAYS (5 YEARS) Source: Yahoo Finance LAST 504 TRADING DAYS (2 YEARS) Source: Yahoo Finance LAST 252 TRADING DAYS (1 YEAR) Source: Yahoo Finance LAST 126 TRADING DAYS (6 MONTHS) Source: Yahoo Finance LAST 63 TRADING DAYS (3 MONTHS) Source: Yahoo Finance LAST 21 TRADING DAYS (1 MONTH) Source: Yahoo Finance LAST 10 TRADING DAYS Source: Yahoo Finance Blog RSS #block-yui_3_17_2_2_1440420671029_16964 .social-i

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Composite Macro ETF Cumulative Return Momentum (08.16.2015)

Here are the updated ETF components I'm using to construct the ETF composites. Last 504 Trading Days Composite ETF Cumulative Returns Last 252 Trading Days Composite ETF Cumulative Returns Last 126 Trading Days Composite ETF Cumulative Returns Last 63 Trading Days Composite ETF Cumulative Returns last 21 Trading days Composite ETF Cumulative Returns Last 10 Trading days Composite ETF Cumulative Returns Blog RSS #block-yui_3_17_2_4_1439677863749_22267

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Composite Equity ETF Analysis (8/10/2015)

While I continue to update the ICC Valuation methodology I plan to post more of the custom charts I use to gain insight into current market structure, momentum, and relative value. Updated Composite ETF List Best vs Worst Performing ETF Composite L/252 Days Best vs Worst Performing ETF Composite L/63 Days Best vs Worst Performing ETF Composite L/21 Days BarPlot Cumulative Returns L/4 Weeks Z - Score Average Risk-Adjusted Returns L/21 Days

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European Sovereign Debt Crisis Redux, What's the Playbook?

I wrote this post originally as a guest feature on RectitudeMarket.com. Check out the website for great investment ideas and original analysis. Now that Greece has officially rejected austerity it’s time to examine our 2011 playbook to get some clues as to what might happen. More importantly depending on your timeframe there should be plenty of strategic and tactical strategies for profit due to the increase in volatility. Let’s compare EUR/USD, Treasury yields, EU yield spreads, and other Dev

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