Tag: LETF

AWS Trading Part 2 - The Strategy

The code and diagrams for the strategy can be found on github. AWS Trading Part 2 Youtube video is here. Introduction In part 1 youtube video link we covered the data pipeline portion of the AWS trading bot architecture. I demonstrated how to set up your AWS environment, including creating a simple dynamoDB database to hold our price and strategy data. Then we walked through the data pipeline code in detail including how to grab the data and populate our db with it. In this post we’ll cover t

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Blackarbs Retirement Strategy Algorithm Debut (Part 2)

Join the growing Blackarbs Research Group Discord community here Get access to the strategy that has returned 48% live trading since November 2023 here (Updated: 2024-Mar-02) Recap In part 1 of the series, I introduced the blackarbs retirement algorithm, a long only leveraged ETF strategy meant to perform at or better than SPY (the market benchmark) with less volatility. I discussed the goals I set for the algo and how thus far in simulated backtests and live trading it has met those goals.

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A Dead Simple 2-Asset Portfolio that Crushes the S&P500 (Part 4)

For newsletter subscribers this post is best viewed directly on my blog. Recap In Part 3 of the series we reviewed the relationship between returns and correlation of the 2-asset portfolio UPRO and TMF. The basic equal weight strategy was very compelling in terms of total return and CAGR. However, the strategy is susceptible to large drawdowns, especially in situations where US equities and long term bonds are out favor, for example in the 2015 and 2018 periods. We also went over some prototy

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A Dead Simple 2-Asset Portfolio that Crushes the S&P500 (Part 3)

Recap This is an update to the original blog series that explored a simple strategy of being long UPRO and TMF in equal weight, inverse volatility and inverse-inverse volatility. This strategy crushed the cumulative and risk-adjusted returns of the benchmark SPY etf. However through our research we determined that this strategy is heavily dependent on the correlation between the two assets. This strategy works best when correlations are positive and prices are trending positively, however, theo

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Exploring the Relationship Between SPY and TLT

In this post I examine the relationship between the SPY and TLT ETFs. This can be considered Part 2.5 of my series exploring the 2-Asset Leveraged ETF portfolio of UPRO and TMF. Thus far I've posted results of the strategy using two implementations: "Inverse Risk-Parity" and "Risk-Parity". I've also covered some key concepts behind investing in leveraged ETFs including convexity, and beta-slippage/decay. Now we can explore the strengths and weaknesses of the strategy. The strategy works because

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