COMPOSITE MACRO ETF WEEKLY ANALYTICS (4/30/2016)

COMPOSITE MACRO ETF WEEKLY ANALYTICS (4/30/2016)

NOTABLE OBSERVATIONS AND TRENDS:

  • The explosive performance of the Precious Metals Miners (PMM) and Precious Metals (PM) composites this year makes me consider that market participants are expecting "unexpected" inflation.
  • The "unexpected" inflation theory is supported by the outperformance of the Oil/Gas and Energy composites over the L/63, L/21, and L/10 trading days.
  • Composite performance over the L/63 trading days is intriguing. It is the only time frame in which none of the composites had negative performance.
  • I still find it somewhat surprising that the Correlation Clustermap (Dendrogram) shows that T-Bonds, PMM, PM are closely correlated with each other offering diversification vs the other composites from the L/126 days onwards. 
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