COMPOSITE MACRO ETF WEEKLY ANALYTICS (3/05/2016)

FOR A DEEPER DIVE INTO ETF PERFORMANCE AND RELATIVE VALUE SUBSCRIBE TO THE ETF INTERNAL ANALYTICS PACKAGE HERE

LAYOUT (Organized by Time Period): 

  1. Composite ETF Cumulative Returns Momentum Bar plot

  2. Composite ETF Cumulative Returns Line plot

  3. Composite ETF Risk-Adjusted Returns Scatter plot (Std vs Mean)

  4. Composite ETF Risk-Adjusted Return Correlations Heatmap (Clusterplot)

  5. Implied Cost of Capital Estimates

  6. Composite ETF Cumulative Return Tables

  7. Notable Trends and Observations

COMPOSITE ETF COMPONENTS:

Notable Trends and Observations

LAST 252 TRADING DAYS

Last 126 trading days

year-to-date last 46 trading days

Last 21 trading days

last 10 trading days

Implied Cost of Capital Estimates:

To learn more about the Implied Cost of Capital see here.

CATEGORY AVERAGE ICC ESTIMATES

ALL ETF ICC ESTIMATES BY CATEGORY

Cumulative Return Tables:

Notable Observations and Trends:

  • Precious Metals Miners (PMM) continue to dominate all other composites appearing as the number one outperformer several weeks in a row across multiple timeframes. This week the PMM composite is number one across the last 126 days through the last 10 days.
  • Healthcare has continued to underperform this year and while it had positive returns over the last 10 days it was still a bottom 3 performer. 
  • The markets were "Risk-on" with with T-Bonds underperforming for the last 21 days while even the Oil and Gas composite rallied towards the end of the week and finally disappeared off the worst 3 performers list last 10 days.
  • Are these bullish signs that risky assets will continue to gain, or is the market simply in a cyclical mean reversion regime where we should expect buying to be met by selling and selling to be met with more buying? The answer remains to be seen...